Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 24/11/25

Monday 24 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
IFO Business Climate Expectations IFO Business Climate Expectations Chart 91.6 91.4 90.6
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 2.7% 2.8%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.4%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.4%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.3%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.2%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 2.9% 2.9%
CPI Year on Year (nsa) CPI Year on Year (nsa) Chart 3.0% 3.0%
Housing Starts Housing Starts Chart 1.307Mln 1.320Mln
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -6.32Bln CA
CPI Month on Month (sa) CPI Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.3% 0.2%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.0%
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 2.8%

Tuesday 25 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GDP Year on Year GDP Year on Year Chart 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
GDP Quarter on Quarter GDP Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 90 90 89
Retail Sales Month on Month   0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
PPI excl Food and Energy MM PPI excl Food and Energy MM Chart -0.1% 0.2% +0.1%
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month   0.7% 0.3% 0.3%
PPI Final Demand Month on Month PPI Final Demand Month on Month Chart -0.1% 0.3% +0.3%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -6.32Bln CA
Housing Starts Housing Starts Chart 1.307Mln 1.320Mln
PPI Core Year on Year PPI Core Year on Year Chart 2.6% 2.7% +2.7%
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 94.6 93.4 88.7
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart 0.0% 0.5% +1.9%

Wednesday 26 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
RBNZ Rate Decision RBNZ Rate Decision Chart 2.50% 2.25% 2.25%
ZEW Investor Sentiment   -7.7 +12.2
Housing Starts Housing Starts Chart 1.307Mln 1.320Mln
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -6.32Bln CA
Durable Goods   3.0% 0.3% 0.5%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -3.426Mln 0.055Mln 2.774Mln

Thursday 27 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -24.1 -23.2 -23.2
Consumer Confidence   97.6 97.6 95.0
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -8.2 -8.0 -9.3
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 4.0 4.4 5.7
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -14.2 -14.2 -14.2
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 96.8 97.0 97.0
Business Climate Business Climate Chart -0.46 -0.66
Housing Starts Housing Starts Chart 1.307Mln 1.320Mln
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -6.32Bln CA
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.6% 2.5% 2.6%
Industrial Production Prelim   2.6% -0.6% 1.4%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 0.5% 0.8% +1.7%

Friday 28 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.2% -0.3%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 0.2% 0.1% +0.9%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.2% 0.0%
GDP Detailed Quarter on Quarter   0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -1k 5k 1k
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.3% 6.3% 6.3%
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
GDP Final Year on Year   0.4% 0.4% 0.6%
CPI Final Month on Month   0.3% -0.3% -0.2%
Housing Starts Housing Starts Chart 1.307Mln 1.320Mln
GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised Chart -1.6% 0.5% +2.6%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart -0.3% 0.2% +0.2%
GDP Quarter on Quarter GDP Quarter on Quarter Chart -0.4% +0.6%

MARKET ANALYSIS

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